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Letter "R" » Rory Robertson Quotes
«Just as the market overshot on the downside in yield in May/June, the risk is that it now overshoots on the upside.»
«I think the back-up in rates should rate a mention -- it's the most significant thing that's happened to the economy in the past seven weeks.»
«The savage market reaction is unlikely to be what the Fed had in mind when it pushed the 'send' button at 2.15 p.m. ET [on Wednesday]. Indeed, it's probably a little shocked. If that is indeed the case, this episode will go down as another unfortunate accident in Fed communication.»
«The inflation risk is less intense than many would imagine and, as energy prices edge lower, some investors are seeing value at current yields. It helps reduce the pressure the Fed has been worried about.»
«Obviously, a big rise in the core CPI would get the ball rolling toward another hike, but it's far from clear that will be the outcome.»
«The markets are coming to understand that policymakers will be inclined to keep rates very low for an extended period -- the FOMC (Fed rate-setting committee) can still only dream that the economy will be strong enough in 2002 to justify a rate hike.»
«The behavior of equity prices from here can make the economy heaven or hell. The further equity prices fall, the gloomier consumers and business people will become, the more corporate and financial disasters will be unearthed, and the less willing lenders will be to lend and spenders to spend.»
«The sharp rise in mortgage rates that is now under way threatens to limit the refinancing boom, limiting the cash that will be dropped into U.S. consumers' hands during the critical holiday-shopping season.»
«The thing driving service prices is wage growth, and after two years of sub-par economic growth, we've got wages decelerating. If the Fed doesn't get the economy growing at an above-trend pace in the next couple of years, deflation will arise.»
«The Fed is trying to do what it can, but the history of the past 200 years is that big booms tend to end badly -- big equity market booms in particular. The Fed so far has done a magnificent job of holding the show together, but we don't know what effects of the bubble are still in the pipeline.»

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