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Letter "I" » Ian Shepherdson Quotes
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«The true underlying trend in claims is downwards, but it is slow.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«A clearer demonstration of the unpredictable havoc Easter plays with seasonal adjustments you could not hope to see,»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«No doubt bears will highlight the rise in continuing claims, up another 29,000, but we are unmoved: A rising ratio of continuing to initial claims signals accelerating productivity growth, not a shaky recovery, ... Labor market conditions are improving -- but we still expect a soft payroll report Friday.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«There is still a good chance for an August hike, but we are leaning increasingly to September or even November.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«With [manufacturing] activity clearly accelerating...it is hard to see [Monday's ISM] report as anything but bad news for Treasuries and yet more evidence of the need for tighter policy,»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«We had hoped the flow of people filing for extended benefits would slow this week, pushing claims back towards their underlying trend -- about 350,000, but it didn't happen,»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«This [report] suggests strongly that the distortions caused by the provisions of the March economic stimulus package are now fading and that the underlying -- downward -- trend in claims is starting to re-emerge,»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«The surge in activity is a lagged response to the strength of new home sales, and with mortgage demand now well off its highs -- though still strong -- it probably can't last, ... But there is no reason to expect an immediate plunge, not least because permits rose again in February, for the fourth straight month.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«Core prices remain very subdued, and core pipeline pressure is non-existent, ... There is no [inflation] threat here for the foreseeable future.»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
«There is no near-term inflation threat here,»
Author: Ian Shepherdson
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